Zoekresultaat: 11 artikelen

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Article

Access_open Opening the Opaque Blank Box

An Exploration into Blank and Null Votes in the 2018 Walloon Local Elections

Tijdschrift Politics of the Low Countries, Aflevering 3 2019
Trefwoorden voting, elections, blank vote, invalid vote, abstention
Auteurs Jean-Benoit Pilet, Maria Jimena Sanhuza, David Talukder e.a.
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    In this article, we propose an in-depth exploration of blank and null ballots in the recent 2018 local elections in Wallonia (Belgium). In the official results, both blank and null ballots are merged together and are classified as invalid votes. After obtaining the authorization to access genuine electoral ballots, we study the votes which were not considered for the composition of local councils in detail. The dataset is a representative sample of 13,243 invalidated ballots from 49 Walloon municipalities. We first describe how many of these invalidated ballots are blank and how many are null votes, as well as the nature of the nulled votes (unintended errors or intentionally spoiled ballots). Second, we dig deeper into the differences between ballots that have been intentionally invalidated by voters (blank votes and intentional null votes) and ballots non-intentionally invalidated. Our results show that most of the ballots (two-thirds) are null ballots and that among them, half are unintentional null ballots. Finally, we show that contextual (socio-demographic and political) factors explain the variations in intentional and unintentional null votes across municipalities.


Jean-Benoit Pilet
Jean-Benoit Pilet is professor of political science at Université libre de Bruxelles (ULB). He works on elections, political parties, and democratic reforms. He has recently co-authored Faces on the Ballot. The Personalization of Electoral Systems in Europe (OUP, 2016, with Alan Renwick) and The Politics of Party Leadership (OUP, 2016, with William Cross).

Maria Jimena Sanhuza
Maria Jimena Sanhueza is PhD Researcher in Political Science at Universite Libre de Bruxelles where she is associated to three projects studying Belgian politics. Her research focuses on citizenship, representation and democracy. Before starting her PhD, Maria Jimena worked as assistant researcher for EU HORIZON 2020 projects Pathways to Power and Solidarity in Times on Crisis, and co-authored a few publications on European democracies and representation.

David Talukder
David Talukder is PhD candidate at the Université libre de Bruxelles (ULB). He is conducting a thesis on the reform of representative democracy, looking at disadvantaged groups’ evaluation of representative democracy and demands for procedural democratic reforms. His main research interests are related to procedural democratic reforms, participatory democracy and democratic innovations.

Jérémy Dodeigne
Jérémy Dodeigne is associate professor in political science at the Université de Namur. His research areas cover the study of political representation in multilevel systems, local politics, comparative politics and mixed methods research designs. His work appears in journals such as Party Politics, American Behavioral Scientist, Local Government Studies, Regional & Federal Studies, Government & Opposition, and Representation.

Audrey E. Brennan
Audrey E. Brennan is completing a joint doctorate in political science at Université libre de Bruxelles (ULB) and Université Laval. Her research interests are political parties, elections, and political participation. Her dissertation studies the effect of leadership change mechanisms on the long-term behaviour of political party members.
Article

How to Improve Local Turnout

The Effect of Municipal Efforts to Improve Turnout in Dutch Local Elections

Tijdschrift Politics of the Low Countries, Aflevering 3 2019
Trefwoorden turnout, local elections, get out the vote, campaign, the Netherlands
Auteurs Julien van Ostaaijen, Sabine van Zuydam en Martijn Epskamp
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    Even though many municipalities use a variety of means to improve turnout in local elections, citizen participation in local elections is a point of concern in many Western countries, including the Netherlands. Our research question is therefore: How effective are municipal efforts to improve turnout in (Dutch) local elections? To this end, we collected data from three sources: (1) a survey sent to the municipal clerks of 389 Dutch municipalities to learn what they do to improve turnout; (2) data from Statistics Netherlands on municipalities’ socio-demographic characteristics; and (3) data on the turnout in local elections from the Dutch Electoral Council database. Using hierarchical multiple regression analysis, we found that the direct impact of local governments’ efforts to improve turnout is low. Nevertheless, some measures seem to be able to make a difference. The relative number of polling stations was especially found to impact turnout.


Julien van Ostaaijen
Julien van Ostaaijen is assistant professor of public administration at the Tilburg Institute of Governance (Tilburg University).

Sabine van Zuydam
Sabine van Zuydam is assistant professor of public administration at the Tilburg Institute of Governance (Tilburg University) and researcher at Necker van Naem.

Martijn Epskamp
Martijn Epskamp is a researcher of the municipality of Rotterdam (Research and Business Intelligence department)

Sofie Hennau
Sofie Hennau is a postdoctoral research at the Center for Government and Law, Hasselt University. Her research focuses on local elections and on the relationship between politics and administration at the local level.

Johan Ackaert
Johan Ackaert is professor at the Center for Government and Law, Hasselt University. His research interests are local government and local governance.
Article

Split-Ticket Voting in Belgium

An Analysis of the Presence and Determinants of Differentiated Voting in the Municipal and Provincial Elections of 2018

Tijdschrift Politics of the Low Countries, Aflevering 3 2019
Trefwoorden split-ticket voting, local elections, voting motives, Belgium, PR-system
Auteurs Tony Valcke en Tom Verhelst
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    This article tackles the particular issue of split-ticket voting, which has been largely overlooked in Belgian election studies thus far. We contribute to the literature by answering two particular research questions: (1) to what extent and (2) why do voters cast a different vote in the elections for the provincial council as compared to their vote in the elections for the municipal council?
    The article draws on survey data collected via an exit poll in the ‘Belgian Local Elections Study’, a research project conducted by an inter-university team of scholars.
    Our analysis shows that nearly 45% of the total research population cast a split-ticket vote in the local elections of 2018. However, this number drops to one out of four if we only consider a homogenous party landscape at both levels by excluding the numerous votes for ‘local’ lists (which occur mostly at the municipal level). This finding underlines the importance of accounting for the electoral and institutional context of the different electoral arenas in research on split-ticket voting in PR systems. In the Belgian context, split-ticket voting in 2018 also differed between the different parties and regions. Furthermore, it was encouraged by a higher level of education and familiarity with particular candidates. This candidate-centred and strategic voting was matched by party identification and the urban municipal context favouring straight-ticket voting. Other factors such as region, a rural municipal context and preferential voting seemed more relevant to determine voting for local parties than using the instrument of split-ticket votes as such.


Tony Valcke
Tony Valcke is Associate Professor at the Faculty of Political and Social Sciences of Ghent University (Belgium). He is a member of the Centre for Local Politics (CLP) and coordinator of the Teacher Training Department. His research, publications and educational activities focus on elections and democratic participation/innovation, (the history of) political institutions and (local) government reform, political elites and leadership, citizenship (education).

Tom Verhelst
Tom Verhelst is Assistant Professor at the Faculty of Political and Social Sciences at Ghent University (Belgium) and a postdoctoral research fellow at the Department of Political Science at Maastricht University (the Netherlands). His research focuses on the Europeanisation of local government (with a particular interest for the regulatory mobilisation of local government in EU decision-making processes) and on the role and position of the local council in Belgium and the Netherlands (with a particular interest for local council scrutiny).
Reflectie & debat

Access_open Opkomst bij verkiezingen: onbekend maakt onbemind

Tijdschrift Beleid en Maatschappij, Aflevering 1 2019
Trefwoorden Elections and election turnout, Compulsory voting, Citizenship, Democracy, Voter education
Auteurs Eddy Habben Jansen
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    Reflection and debate initiates academically inspired discussions on issues that are on the current policy agenda.


Eddy Habben Jansen
Eddy Habben Jansen is directeur van ProDemos – Huis voor democratie en rechtsstaat.

Dr. Alexandre Afonso
Dr. Alexandre Afonso is assistant professor aan de Universiteit van Leiden.
Artikel

De diplomademocratie

Over de spanning tussen meritocratie en democratie

Tijdschrift Beleid en Maatschappij, Aflevering 4 2006
Auteurs Mark Bovens
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    Contemporary western democracies, such the United States, Great Britain, and The Netherlands have become diploma democracies. They are ruled by the well educated, whereas the least educated, even though they still comprise about half of the population, have virtually vanished from most political arenas. Of course, the well educated have always been more politically active than the less educated, but in the past decades this gap has widened substantially. Well-educated citizens are more inclined to vote, to write letters to the editor, or to visit consultative or deliberative meetings than citizens with a low level of education; and most, if not all, members of parliament, all the political officials, and almost all of the political advocates and lobbyists, have college or graduate degrees. The paper substantiates the rise of diploma democracy in The Netherlands, discusses what is problematic about such an educational meritocracy in the context of democracy, and looks at what could be done to mitigate or remedy some of its negative effects.


Mark Bovens
Prof. dr. Mark Bovens is als hoogleraar Bestuurskunde verbonden aan de Utrechtse School voor Bestuurs- en Organisatiewetenschap van de Universiteit Utrecht, Bijlhouwerstraat 6, 3511 ZC Utrecht. Zijn meest recente boek is De digitale republiek: Democratie en rechtsstaat in de informatiemaatschappij (AUP 2003). Correspondentiegegevens: m.a.p.bovens@uu.nl www.usg.uu.nl/research/m.bovens
Article

Stemrecht, stemplicht, opkomstplicht: inleiding tot het debat

Tijdschrift Res Publica, Aflevering 1 2010
Trefwoorden compulsory voting, turnout, electoral participation, electoral systems, types of democracy
Auteurs Arend Lijphart
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    Compulsory voting was abolished in the Netherlands in 1970 without a thorough debate about the likely consequences. On several occasions, I have recommended its retention in countries that have it and its introduction in countries that do not have it. Compulsory voting has a positive effect on turnout and is a guarantee for equal electoral participation by different groups in society. However, the debate is far from closed. In particular, the relationship between compulsory voting and type of democracy (majoritarian vs consensus democracy, majoritarian vs proportional electoral systems) requires further research.


Arend Lijphart
Arend Lijphart (1936) is als onderzoeksprofessor emeritus verbonden aan de Universiteit van Californië, San Diego, USA. In 1963 promoveerde hij aan Yale University. Hij is auteur van een groot aantal gezaghebbende boeken en artikelen in het bijzonder op het terrein van de vergelijkende politicologie. In 1995-1996 was hij president van de American Political Science Association. In 2001 ontving hij een eredoctoraat van de Universiteit Leiden, in 2009 van de Universiteit Gent.
Article

Opkomstplicht: stimulans of frustratie?

Een landenvergelijkende studie naar de gevolgen van opkomstplicht op politieke participatie

Tijdschrift Res Publica, Aflevering 1 2010
Trefwoorden compulsory voting, political participation, turnout, elections
Auteurs Tom van der Meer en Jan van Deth
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    Compulsory voting does not only increase voting turnout; it is also expected to have positive spill-over effects. Supposedly, citizens who are obliged to cast a vote will be more engaged in politics than citizens who are allowed to avoid politics. This article reviews the main arguments for this expectation. A rival expectation is formulated based on the idea that enforcements, duties and sanctions are likely to decrease the willingness of citizens to participate politically. A cross-national multi-level empirical test – covering turnout and political participation in twenty established democracies – shows that compulsory voting indeed increases voting turnout. Yet neither positive nor negative spill-over effects for other modes of political participation can be detected. Apparently, the consequences of compulsory voting are restricted to turnout.


Tom van der Meer
Tom van der Meer (1980) is verbonden aan de Universiteit van Amsterdam (IMES) en aan het Sociaal Cultureel Planbureau (onderzoeksgroep Participatie & Bestuur). In 2009 promoveerde hij aan de Radboud Universiteit Nijmegen op een vergelijkend onderzoek naar de relatie tussen staat en burgers, in het bijzonder de invloed van de staat op (vormen van) burgerparticipatie. In zijn onderzoek richt hij zich onder meer op vragen rondom burgerparticipatie, civil society, (etnische diversiteit en) sociale cohesie, politiek vertrouwen en politieke voorkeuren.

Jan van Deth
Jan van Deth (1950) bekleedt de Lehrstuhl für Politische Wissenschaft und International Vergleichende Sozialforschung aan de Universiteit van Mannheim, Duitsland. Hij promoveerde in 1984 aan de Universiteit Twente op een onderzoek naar politieke waarden. Zijn onderzoek richt zich in het bijzonder op politieke cultuur, maatschappelijke ontwikkelingen alsook vergelijkende onderzoeksmethoden.
Article

Opkomstplicht in Vlaanderen: een gespreide slagorde?

Onderzoek naar de gelaagdheid van houdingen ten aanzien van de opkomstplicht

Tijdschrift Res Publica, Aflevering 1 2010
Trefwoorden compulsory voting, Belgium, turnout, multi level context
Auteurs Dries Verlet, Ann Carton en Marc Callens
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    Belgium is one of the advanced Western democracies with compulsory voting. There is continuing scholarly and societal debate on this feature of the electoral system, however, both form a normative and an empirical perspective. One argument in favor of compulsory voting is that it more or less guarantees the inclusion of all citizens of the political system, at least at election time. This paper addresses this argument in an empirical way on the basis of a 2007 survey from Flanders, by analyzing the potential drop outs at various layers of the political system and in different geographical locations in the case of the abolition of compulsory voting. It concludes that without the system of compulsory voting some particular groups of citizens will turn out in lower numbers than other groups. In the explanation of these diverging levels of turnout individual level characteristics are most important, e.g. political powerlessness, level of education, gender, age, as well as societal involvement and political preference. As a result of the abolition of compulsory voting the Flemish electorate will show itself in a differing electoral order of battle.


Dries Verlet
Dries Verlet (1977) is doctor in de politieke en sociale wetenschappen (Universiteit Gent) en sinds eind 2007 adviseur beleidsevaluatie aan de Studiedienst van de Vlaamse Regering. Daarnaast is hij ook actief als gastdocent aan de Hogeschool Gent (Departement Handelswetenschappen en Bestuurskunde). Tot 2007 was hij doctor-assistent aan de Universiteit Gent. Zijn onderzoek en onderwijs omvat de volgende onderzoeksdomeinen: beleidsevaluatie, methodologie, statistiek, politieke participatie en subjectief welzijn.

Ann Carton
Ann Carton is doctor in de sociale wetenschappen (K.U.Leuven, departement Sociologie) en is momenteel adviseur-coördinator van het Team kwaliteit statistiek, survey, toekomstverkenningen en beleidsevaluatie op de Studiedienst van de Vlaamse Regering. Ze is eveneens verantwoordelijk voor de organisatie van en kwaliteitszorg over de survey ‘Sociaal-culturele verschuivingen in Vlaanderen’ en de contactpersoon voor ISSP (International Social Survey Programme) in Vlaanderen.

Marc Callens
Marc Callens (1958) is als senior onderzoeker verbonden aan de Studiedienst van de Vlaamse Regering. Hij promoveerde aan de Katholieke Universiteit Leuven op een onderzoek naar multiniveau logistische regressie. Hij doet voornamelijk onderzoek naar toegepaste statistiek, kwaliteit van het leven, armoededynamiek en surveymethodologie.
Article

Nieuwe vragen, oude antwoorden

Het debat over de opkomstplicht in Nederland

Tijdschrift Res Publica, Aflevering 1 2010
Trefwoorden compulsory voting, proportional representation, turnout, Dutch parliamentary debate
Auteurs Galen Irwin en Joop van Holsteyn
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    Arend Lijphart has generated recent discussion on the topic of compulsory voting within political science. He also notes that there was not a broad discussion in The Netherlands concerning the repeal of compulsory voting in 1970 and asks whether there would have been more discussion if the members of Parliament had been aware of the consequences of repeal (i.e. lower turnout, class and age discrepancies in turnout). And could political scientists have warned members of parliament of these consequences? Our contribution examines the contents of the parliamentary debates over compulsory voting, in particular at the time of repeal. It concludes that the arguments in Parliament centered on the rights and duties of a citizen in the state and that there was little or no discussion of the consequences of repeal. Data were available that could have made it possible for political scientists to make fairly accurate predictions concerning the consequences of appeal. This, however, was not an element of the parliamentary debate.


Galen Irwin
Galen Irwin (1942) is emeritus hoogleraar politiek gedrag en de methodologie van politicologisch onderzoek aan het Instituut voor Politieke Wetenschap van de Universiteit Leiden. Hij studeerde aan de University of Kansas en Florida State University. In zijn onderzoek houdt hij zich vooral bezig met vraagstukken van politieke participatie, electoraal gedrag, opiniepeilingen en opinieonderzoek.

Joop van Holsteyn
Joop van Holsteyn (1957) is als universitair hoofddocent en bijzonder hoogleraar kiezersonderzoek verbonden aan het Instituut voor Politieke Wetenschap van de Universiteit Leiden. Hij doet onderzoek naar en publiceert over politieke participatie en electoraal gedrag, publieke opinie, opiniepeilingen en opinieonderzoek, extreem-rechts in Nederland en politieke cartoons.
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